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	<title>Steve Kass &#187; Sarcastic and Bitter</title>
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		<title>Let Charles Minard Rest in Peace</title>
		<link>http://stevekass.com/2010/06/23/let-charles-minard-rest-in-peace/</link>
		<comments>http://stevekass.com/2010/06/23/let-charles-minard-rest-in-peace/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jun 2010 17:55:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NSFW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Outrage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sarcastic and Bitter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vulpigeration]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Thanks to Edward Tufte, millions of people have seen Charles Minard’s remarkable chart of the French Army’s losses during its Russian campaign in the winter of 1812-13. Minard’s chart is a joy to behold. It’s the acme of data presentation — magnificent, spectacular, inspiring. So it kills me that Gene Zelazny, who wrote the you-know-from-the-title-it’s-bad [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks to Edward Tufte, millions of people have seen Charles Minard’s remarkable chart of the French Army’s losses during its Russian campaign in the winter of 1812-13. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Minard.png">Minard’s chart</a> is a joy to behold. It’s the acme of data presentation — magnificent, spectacular, inspiring. So it kills me that Gene Zelazny, who wrote the you-know-from-the-title-it’s-bad book <em>“Say it with Charts” </em>FUCKING SHAT ALL OVER MINARD’S LEGACY.</p>
<p>I learned about Zelazny’s desecration <a href="http://extremepresentation.typepad.com/blog/2010/06/gene-zelazny-responds-to-tufte-on-the-famous-minard-graphic.html">here</a>, though Andrew Abela, who reported it, failed to call it that. “Zelazny notes that the graphic is difficult to read, and proposes that there might be better ways to convey the same information.”</p>
<p>Sure, there might be, just like there might be better ways to decorate the ceiling of the Sistine Chapel, but what Zelazny offers is an epic numerical fail, because IT NOT ONLY DEPICTS DIFFERENT (AS IN WRONG) INFORMATION, IT ALSO DEPICTS THE WRONG INFORMATION BADLY (as in we can’t even tell what wrong numbers he wants us to find and what they are supposed to quantify).</p>
<p>Zelazny might as well propose that “there might be better ways to clean up the Gulf of Mexico,” trot out a broken doorknob and a bent bicycle tire, and ask us to wonder with him. Ugh, ugh, ugh. And ugh.</p>
<p>Here are a few of the gory details (of which there can be but few, given how little actual <em>stuff</em> there is in Zelazny’s chart).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Temps.png"><img style="border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px" title="Temps" border="0" alt="Temps" src="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Temps_thumb.png" width="495" height="123" /></a>&#160;</p>
<p>Ok, so the spirit levels in the cutesy clipart thermometers don’t match the numbers, only their absolute values (sort of).&#160; <em><strong>But the numbers are wrong, too</strong></em>. Five of Zelazny’s six data points are wrong — misread from Minard’s original. <em>Five out of six.</em> That’s almost all wrong, for those of you who aren’t counting. Badly, differently, and horrifyingly wrong. </p>
<p>Minard reports that there was rain on October 24, and that the temperature was about zero*. Zelazny misread the day of the month (24) as a temperature, then used the only other written figure at that spot on Minard’s chart <em>(8<sup>bre</sup>,</em> for <em>octobre)</em> for both the month and the day. No explanation short of “Who gives a fuck?” works for this slop.</p>
<p><font size="1">*Minard’s figures give the Réaumur scale temperature, which detail Minard, lest future readers misconstrue his chart, tells us. Minard cared deeply about communicating. (Zelazny’s figures are wrong in every known temperature scale. He cares less. Much less, like not at all.)</font></p>
<p>Remarkably or not, almost nothing <em>is</em> correct in Zelazny’s “presentation.” The border between Poland and Russia is misplaced, and all the graphical scales are wrong. I’m no PowerPoint guru, but I assume you have to work very hard to incorporate numbers into a slide this wrongly (as was famously done <a href="http://www.venganza.org/about/open-letter/">here</a>, and better).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Army.png"><img style="border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px" title="Army" border="0" alt="Army" src="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Army_thumb.png" width="510" height="222" /></a> </p>
</p>
<p>Even Zelazny’s title is wrong.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Title.png"><img style="border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px" title="Title" border="0" alt="Title" src="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Title_thumb.png" width="504" height="50" /></a> </p>
<p>Things got bad on the retreat <strong><em>from</em></strong> Moscow. And it’s not clear how many <strong><em>died</em></strong>. Minard charted the number of troops, not deaths. Some who didn’t return were captured. Others may have deserted. And the overall message isn’t “the colder … the more.” The biggest declines were early in the campaign, when the temperatures aren’t given. So the title is all wrong, but hell, IT FIT ON TWO LINES. Shit like this matters. It’s our planet’s fucking history.</p>
<p>Sure, Minard’s correct title (<em>Carte figurative des pertes successives en hommes de l’ Armée Française…,</em> and penned more beautifully than any web typography can be rendered) won’t work projected at WXGA resolution or on your favorite eReader or phone. </p>
<p>THIS IS WHY WE PRINT STUFF ON PAPER. If you don’t have a copy of Minard’s chart, <a href="http://www.edwardtufte.com/tufte/posters">buy yourself one</a>. Fuck, if you’re one of the first five people to ask me, <em>I’ll buy you</em> one.</p>
<p>Now turn off your computer and pick up a beautiful book. Or go to the library. Or write. On paper. Thanks for listening.</p>
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		<title>Wolfram MathWorld Sucks</title>
		<link>http://stevekass.com/2010/06/12/wolfram-mathworld-sucks/</link>
		<comments>http://stevekass.com/2010/06/12/wolfram-mathworld-sucks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jun 2010 03:00:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Outrage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sarcastic and Bitter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Teaching]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Web sites about mathematics should help people understand and appreciate mathematics, not confuse the crap out of them with misinformation. Unfortunately, Wolfram Mathworld does the latter.
Example 1. MathWorld explains here that “The numbers of palindromic numbers less than a given number are illustrated in the plot [below].”
 
So the left plot tells us that there [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Web sites about mathematics should help people understand and appreciate mathematics, not confuse the crap out of them with misinformation. Unfortunately, <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com">Wolfram Mathworld</a> does the latter.</p>
<p><strong>Example 1</strong>. MathWorld explains <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/PalindromicNumber.html">here</a> that “The numbers of palindromic numbers less than a given number are illustrated in the plot [below].”</p>
<p><a href="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/PalindromicNumbers_800.gif"><img style="border-right-width: 0px; display: block; float: none; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; margin-left: auto; border-left-width: 0px; margin-right: auto" title="PalindromicNumbers_800" border="0" alt="PalindromicNumbers_800" src="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/PalindromicNumbers_800_thumb.gif" width="507" height="149" /></a> </p>
<p>So the left plot tells us that there are about 100 palindromes less than or equal to 20. But there are only 21 nonnegative integers less than or equal to 20, so there can’t be 100 palindromes among them. In fact, there are 11 palindromes less than or equal to 20: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 11. My guess is that the left plot illustrates the <em>n</em>-th palindromic number as a function of <em>n</em>. In any case, it’s not what MathWorld describes.</p>
<p>MathWorld begins its list of the “first few palindromic numbers” with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 (these 10 numbers are palindromes and are all less than 10), but in the next paragraph, MathWorld states that the number of palindromic numbers less than 10 is 9. There are 9 if you don’t count zero for some strange reason, but if you don’t intend to, give a definition that excludes it (MathWorld’s definition is less than clear), and then don’t list it.</p>
<p>Still confused? Read <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palindromic_number">the Wikipedia article</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Example 2</strong>. Pascal’s Triangle shouldn’t be hard to screw up, right? Wrong. Here’s MathWorld’s <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/PascalsTriangle.html">Pascal’s Triangle</a>:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/NumberedEquation2.gif"><img style="border-right-width: 0px; display: block; float: none; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; margin-left: auto; border-left-width: 0px; margin-right: auto" title="NumberedEquation2" border="0" alt="NumberedEquation2" src="http://www.stevekass.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/NumberedEquation2_thumb.gif" width="100" height="123" /></a></p>
<p>This triangle needs to go to the shop for an alignment. The numbers are neither lined up in columns nor staggered (the latter being the usual presentation). What are the numbers in the column containing the rightmost 4? What numbers are along the diagonal through the top? (1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 5, 6?) As shown, MathWorld’s anyway-ill-worded “each subsequent row is obtained by adding the two entries diagonally above” is meaningless. </p>
<p><strong>Example 3</strong>. In its article on <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/MersenneNumber.html">Mersenne numbers</a> (numbers that are one less than a power of two), MathWorld attempts to explain why “[i]n order for the Mersenne number [2<em><sup>n</sup></em>-1] to be prime, <em>n</em> must be prime.” MathWorld’s justification: “This is true since for composite <em>n</em> with factors <em>r</em> and <em>s</em>, <em>n</em> = <em>rs</em>. Therefore, 2<em><sup>n</sup>-</em>1 can be written as 2<em><sup>rs</sup>-</em>1, which is a binomial number and can be factored.” That’s sloppy to say the least. First, if a composite number <em>n</em> has factors <em>r</em> and <em>s</em>, it’s not necessarily the case that <em>n</em> = <em>rs.</em> Furthermore, the fact that a number can be factored doesn’t prove it’s composite. Every Mersenne number 2<em><sup>n</sup>-</em>1 can be factored. It&#8217;s just that when <em>n</em> is composite, there’s definitely a factorization into positive integers neither of which equals 1. Explaining it isn’t hard: In order for 2<em><sup>n</sup>-1</em> to be prime, <em>n</em> must be prime. For if not, <em>n</em> = <em>rs</em> where <em>r</em> and <em>s</em> are integers greater than 1 and less than <em>n</em>; then 2<em><sup>n</sup>-</em>1 = 2<em><sup>rs</sup>-</em>1 has a factor between 1 and 2<em><sup>n</sup>-</em>1, namely 2<em><sup>r</sup>-</em>1.</p>
<p><strong>Example 4</strong>. MathWorld describes <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/PrimeNumber.html">prime numbers</a> as “numbers that cannot be factored.” Prime numbers, like all integers, however, <em>can</em> be factored, and <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/OrderedFactorization.html">elsewhere</a>, MathWorld gives the factorization of several prime numbers, such as 7: 7 = 7×1.</p>
<p><strong>Example 5</strong>. Any of MathWorld’s articles on statistics.</p>
<p>In <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/CentralLimitTheorem.html">the article</a> on the Central Limit Theorem, what is lowercase <em>n</em>? What is <em>f?</em> The “limiting cumulative distribution function” of <em>X<sub>norm</sub></em> is limiting in the sense of what approaching what? (It’s not clear to me that MathWorld’s statement of the theorem is even correct, but it’s clearly unclear.)</p>
<p>The article “explaining” the <em><a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/P-Value.html">p-value</a></em> has perhaps the worst definition of <em>p</em>-value I’ve ever seen when not grading exams. MathWorld says it’s “[t]he <a href="http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Probability.html">probability</a> that a variate would assume a value greater than or equal to the observed value strictly by chance: P(z <u>&gt;</u> z<sub>observed</sub>)” (wrong). <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value">Wikipedia says</a> “In statistical hypothesis testing, the <em>p</em>-value is the probability of obtaining a test statistic at least as extreme as the one that was actually observed, assuming that the null hypothesis is true” (right).</p>
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		<title>Fungus Follow-up</title>
		<link>http://stevekass.com/2010/04/28/fungus-follow-up/</link>
		<comments>http://stevekass.com/2010/04/28/fungus-follow-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Apr 2010 22:55:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sarcastic and Bitter]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[On Monday, CBS News leapt (or leaped, if you wish) onto the alarm bandwagon, writing (emphasis mine):
So far, the biggest outbreak has taken place on Vancouver Island in British Columbia, but the fungus has since spread past the order [sic] into Oregon where it&#8217;s become a &#34;a major source of illness in the region,&#34; according [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On Monday, CBS News <a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-501465_162-20003372-501465.html">leapt</a> (or <a href="http://www.englishforums.com/English/LeapedOrLeapt/kkbb/post.htm">leaped</a>, if you wish) onto the alarm bandwagon, writing (emphasis mine):</p>
<blockquote><p><i>So far, the biggest outbreak has taken place on Vancouver Island in British Columbia, but the fungus has since spread past the order [sic] into Oregon where <b>it&#8217;s become a &quot;a major source of illness in the region,&quot; according to the online journal PLoS Pathogens</b>.</i></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Not to be snarky (translation: Imma snark (translation: sarcasm coming)), but besides misspelling “border,” the CBS News writer failed to read either my previous post <a href="http://stevekass.com/2010/04/22/were-all-gonna-die/">here</a> (highly forgivable) or <a href="http://www.plospathogens.org/annotation/getCommentary.action?target=info:doi/10.1371/journal.ppat.1000850">my comment on the PLoS Pathogen article’s discussion page</a> (less forgivable, being that there are only two comments on the article). </p>
<p>It’s interesting to think about where in the scientific peer review process a clinker like “major source of illness” should have been caught. (I’ll think to myself.) </p>
<p>For the record, a publications assistant at PLoS Pathogens who handled my comment deserves thanks. He offered helpful feedback on a first draft of my comment, and he followed up to suggest that PLoS Pathogens cares when their articles are misinterpreted.</p>
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		<title>Financial Times: Stick to finance, please</title>
		<link>http://stevekass.com/2009/06/26/theres-gotta-be-a-word-for-it/</link>
		<comments>http://stevekass.com/2009/06/26/theres-gotta-be-a-word-for-it/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Jun 2009 04:32:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Sarcastic and Bitter]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stevekass.com/?p=163</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What do you call it if someone commits a crime in an attempt to prove they were right that the crime rate is increasing?  Last year, Martin Bernheimer wrote about the sorry state of arts criticism in the country:
Many US papers have abandoned thoughtful, detailed reviews altogether. Publishers, editors and, presumably, readers want instant [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What do you call it if someone commits a crime in an attempt to prove they were right that the crime rate is increasing?  Last year, <a href="http://us.ft.com/ftgateway/superpage.ft?news_id=fto070420080242088316">Martin Bernheimer wrote</a> about the sorry state of arts criticism in the country:</p>
<blockquote><p>Many US papers have abandoned thoughtful, detailed reviews altogether. Publishers, editors and, presumably, readers want instant evaluations and newsbites, preferably with flashy pictures. It is Zagat-think, simplicity for the simple-minded.</p></blockquote>
<p>Today, <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/132fedea-61a3-11de-9e03-00144feabdc0.html">Martin Bernheimer reviewed</a> the New York Philharmonic&#8217;s performance of Mahler&#8217;s Eighth Symphony. You can guess where I&#8217;m going with this. (Disclosure: I sang in the chorus.)  The Financial Times as an organization may or may not have abandoned thoughtful, detailed reviews, but Bernheimer nonetheless gave them the kind of review he said many US papers want. Nope, I won&#8217;t be filing his review under &#8220;thoughtful and detailed.&#8221; The date of the concert, the names of the soloists, and the row in which Bernheimer unhappily sat unfortunately don&#8217;t pass the bar for detail. And nothing in his mostly weasely review fits the thoughtful category.  Not to omit detail myself, I&#8217;ll mention a couple of things Bernheimer got wrong: Joseph Flummerfelt didn&#8217;t prepare all three choirs, and Anthony Dean Griffey wasn&#8217;t motley.  Admittedly, the hypothesis that Bernheimer is writing bad reviews to support his claim that there are too many bad reviews is hard to support. If that were the point, wouldn&#8217;t he write the bad reviews using a pseudonym? So here&#8217;s another hypothesis about what&#8217;s wrong with the guy. He reported today that Avery Fisher Hall</p>
<blockquote><p>distorted the inherent complexities virtually beyond recognition. Echoes abounded, balances went awry, attacks blurred. Some voices disappeared in the muddle, others boomed as if electronically amplified. It was ugly.</p></blockquote>
<p>I think one of the abounding echoes was that of his own voice in his own head, because last month, he had <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/b49d2530-43c6-11de-a9be-00144feabdc0.html">this to say</a> about Boulez&#8217;s performance of Mahler&#8217;s Eighth in Carnegie:</p>
<blockquote><p>Balances went askew. Melodic details got buried in textural muddles.</p></blockquote>
<p>Next time someone pays for Bernheimer to sit in a chair, an audiologist&#8217;s office might be the right venue.  Welcome to my new <a href="http://www.stevekass.com/category/sarcastic-and-bitter">sarcastic and bitter</a> category. My excuse for being sarcastic and bitter? None, but I&#8217;ll point out that I&#8217;m not claiming to be a real critic, nor am I getting paid to write this. I promise to post something warm and fuzzy soon.  Related reading: <a href="http://eotat.wordpress.com/2008/04/14/shut-up-martin-bernheimer-shut-up/">Shut up, Martin Bernheimer</a> (Einstein on the A Train, April 23, 2008)  Related hearing (only through July 10, 2009): <a href="http://nyphil.org/attend/broadcasts/index.cfm?page=broadcastDetail&amp;broadcastKey=228">tonight&#8217;s performance</a> of the concert, which was broadcast live. I think you&#8217;ll love it.</p>
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